Bioinformatics Approach Predicts Candidate Targets for SARS-CoV-2 Infections to COPD Patients.

COVID-19 is still prevalent in more world regions and poses a severe threat to human health due to its high pathogenicity. The incidence of COPD patients is gradually increasing, especially in patients over 45 years old. COPD patients are susceptible to COVID-19 due to the specific lung receptor ACE2 of SARS-CoV-2. We attempt to reveal the genetic basis by analyzing the expression of common DEGs of the two diseases through bioinformatics approaches and find potential therapeutic agents based on the target genes. Thus, we search the GEO database for COVID-19 and COPD transcriptomic gene expression. We also study the enrichment of signaling regulatory pathways and hub genes for potential therapeutic treatments. There are 34 common DEGs in the two datasets. The signaling pathways are mainly enriched in intercellular junctions between virus and cytokine regulation. In the PPI network of common DEGs, we extract 5 hub genes. We find that artesunate CTD 00001840, dexverapamil MCF7 UP, and STOCK1N-35696 PC3 DOWN could be therapeutic agents for both diseases. We also analyze the regulatory network of differential genes with transcription factors and miRNAs. Therefore, we conclude that artesunate CTD 00001840, dexverapamil MCF7 UP, and STOCK1N-35696 PC3 DOWN can be therapeutic candidates in COPD combined with COVID-19.

Bioinformatics Approach Predicts Candidate Targets for SARS-CoV-2 Infections to COPD Patients

COVID-19 is still prevalent in more world regions and poses a severe threat to human health due to its high pathogenicity. The incidence of COPD patients is gradually increasing, especially in patients over 45 years old. COPD patients are susceptible to COVID-19 due to the specific lung receptor ACE2 of SARS-CoV-2. We attempt to reveal the genetic basis by analyzing the expression of common DEGs of the two diseases through bioinformatics approaches and find potential therapeutic agents based on the target genes. Thus, we search the GEO database for COVID-19 and COPD transcriptomic gene expression. We also study the enrichment of signaling regulatory pathways and hub genes for potential therapeutic treatments. There are 34 common DEGs in the two datasets. The signaling pathways are mainly enriched in intercellular junctions between virus and cytokine regulation. In the PPI network of common DEGs, we extract 5 hub genes. We find that artesunate CTD 00001840, dexverapamil MCF7 UP, and STOCK1N-35696 PC3 DOWN could be therapeutic agents for both diseases. We also analyze the regulatory network of differential genes with transcription factors and miRNAs. Therefore, we conclude that artesunate CTD 00001840, dexverapamil MCF7 UP, and STOCK1N-35696 PC3 DOWN can be therapeutic candidates in COPD combined with COVID-19.

Progress of study on biology, epidemiology and prevention strategies for SARS-CoV-2 lambda variant

The emergence of SARS-COV-2 caused the global pandemic crisis.As the pandemic evolves, the mutation of novel coronavirus genome continues, resulting in several novel coronavirus variants. For example, Alpha (B.1.1.7), Beta (B.1.351), Gamma (p.1), Delta (B.1.617.2) and Lambda (C.37) variants may cause changes in biological characteristics of the virus, such as pathogenicity and infectivity, which may lead immune escape from vaccine protection and antibodies, even bring greater harm to epidemic prevention and control and also disease treatment. In this paper, the pandemic characteristics and relevant prevention and control measures of lambda variant are reviewed.

Early kidney injury predicts disease progression in patients with COVID-19: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The receptor of severe respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), angiotensin-converting enzyme 2, is more abundant in kidney than in lung tissue, suggesting that kidney might be another important target organ for SARS-CoV-2. However, our understanding of kidney injury caused by Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is limited. This study aimed to explore the association between kidney injury and disease progression in patients with COVID-19. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was designed by including 2630 patients with confirmed COVID-19 from Huoshenshan Hospital (Wuhan, China) from 1 February to 13 April 2020. Kidney function indexes and other clinical information were extracted from the electronic medical record system. Associations between kidney function indexes and disease progression were analyzed using Cox proportional-hazards regression and generalized linear mixed model. RESULTS: We found that estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and creatinine clearance (Ccr) decreased in 22.0% and 24.0% of patients with COVID-19, respectively. Proteinuria was detected in 15.0% patients and hematuria was detected in 8.1% of patients. Hematuria (HR 2.38, 95% CI 1.50-3.78), proteinuria (HR 2.16, 95% CI 1.33-3.51), elevated baseline serum creatinine (HR 2.84, 95% CI 1.92-4.21) and blood urea nitrogen (HR 3.54, 95% CI 2.36-5.31), and decrease baseline eGFR (HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.07-2.34) were found to be independent risk factors for disease progression after adjusted confounders. Generalized linear mixed model analysis showed that the dynamic trajectories of uric acid was significantly related to disease progression. CONCLUSION: There was a high proportion of early kidney function injury in COVID-19 patients on admission. Early kidney injury could help clinicians to identify patients with poor prognosis at an early stage.

CT Quantification of COVID-19 Pneumonia at Admission Can Predict Progression to Critical Illness: A Retrospective Multicenter Cohort Study.

Objective: Early identification of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients with worse outcomes may benefit clinical management of patients. We aimed to quantify pneumonia findings on CT at admission to predict progression to critical illness in COVID-19 patients. Methods: This retrospective study included laboratory-confirmed adult patients with COVID-19. All patients underwent a thin-section chest computed tomography (CT) scans showing evidence of pneumonia. CT images with severe moving artifacts were excluded from analysis. Patients' clinical and laboratory data were collected from medical records. Three quantitative CT features of pneumonia lesions were automatically calculated using a care.ai Intelligent Multi-disciplinary Imaging Diagnosis Platform Intelligent Evaluation System of Chest CT for COVID-19, denoting the percentage of pneumonia volume (PPV), ground-glass opacity volume (PGV), and consolidation volume (PCV). According to Chinese COVID-19 guidelines (trial version 7), patients were divided into noncritical and critical groups. Critical illness was defined as a composite of admission to the intensive care unit, respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation, shock, or death. The performance of PPV, PGV, and PCV in discrimination of critical illness was assessed. The correlations between PPV and laboratory variables were assessed by Pearson correlation analysis. Results: A total of 140 patients were included, with mean age of 58.6 years, and 85 (60.7%) were male. Thirty-two (22.9%) patients were critical. Using a cutoff value of 22.6%, the PPV had the highest performance in predicting critical illness, with an area under the curve of 0.868, sensitivity of 81.3%, and specificity of 80.6%. The PPV had moderately positive correlation with neutrophil (%) (r = 0.535, p < 0.001), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (r = 0.567, p < 0.001), d-Dimer (r = 0.444, p < 0.001), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (r = 0.495, p < 0.001), aspartate aminotransferase (r = 0.410, p < 0.001), lactate dehydrogenase (r = 0.644, p < 0.001), and urea nitrogen (r = 0.439, p < 0.001), whereas the PPV had moderately negative correlation with lymphocyte (%) (r = -0.535, p < 0.001). Conclusions: Pneumonia volume quantified on initial CT can non-invasively predict the progression to critical illness in advance, which serve as a prognostic marker of COVID-19.

Inflammation characteristics and anti-inflammation treatment with tocilizumab of severe/critical COVID-19 patients: A retrospective cohort study.

The efficacy of tocilizumab on the prognosis of severe/critical COVID-19 patients is still controversial so far. We aimed to delineate the inflammation characteristics of severe/critical COVID-19 patients and determine the impact of tocilizumab on hospital mortality. Here, we performed a retrospective cohort study which enrolled 727 severe or critical inpatients (≥18 years old) with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 from Huoshenshan Hospital (Wuhan, China), among which 50 patients received tocilizumab. This study confirmed that most recovered patients manifested relatively normal inflammation levels at admission, whereas most of the deceased cases presented visibly severe inflammation at admission and even progressed into extremely aggravated inflammation before their deaths, proved by some extremely high concentrations of interleukin-6, procalcitonin, C-reactive protein and neutrophil count. Moreover, based on the Cox proportional-hazards models before or after propensity score matching, we demonstrated that tocilizumab treatment could lessen mortality by gradually alleviating excessive inflammation and meanwhile continuously enhancing the levels of lymphocytes within 14 days for severe/critical COVID-19 patients, indicating potential effectiveness for treating COVID-19.

Risk stratification scores for hospitalization duration and disease progression in moderate and severe patients with COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: During outbreak of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), healthcare providers are facing critical clinical decisions based on the prognosis of patients. Decision support tools of risk stratification are needed to predict outcomes in patients with different clinical types of COVID-19. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study recruited 2425 patients with moderate or severe COVID-19. A logistic regression model was used to select and estimate the factors independently associated with outcomes. Simplified risk stratification score systems were constructed to predict outcomes in moderate and severe patients with COVID-19, and their performances were evaluated by discrimination and calibration. RESULTS: We constructed two risk stratification score systems, named as STPCAL (including significant factors in the prediction model: number of clinical symptoms, the maximum body temperature during hospitalization, platelet count, C-reactive protein, albumin and lactate dehydrogenase) and TRPNCLP (including maximum body temperature during hospitalization, history of respiratory diseases, platelet count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, creatinine, lactate dehydrogenase, and prothrombin time), to predict hospitalization duration for moderate patients and disease progression for severe patients, respectively. According to STPCAL score, moderate patients were classified into three risk categories for a longer hospital duration: low (Score 0-1, median = 8 days, with less than 20.0% probabilities), intermediate (Score 2-6, median = 13 days, with 30.0-78.9% probabilities), high (Score 7-9, median = 19 days, with more than 86.5% probabilities). Severe patients were stratified into three risk categories for disease progression: low risk (Score 0-5, with less than 12.7% probabilities), intermediate risk (Score 6-11, with 18.6-69.1% probabilities), and high risk (Score 12-16, with more than 77.9% probabilities) by TRPNCLP score. The two risk scores performed well with good discrimination and calibration. CONCLUSIONS: Two easy-to-use risk stratification score systems were built to predict the outcomes in COVID-19 patients with different clinical types. Identifying high risk patients with longer stay or poor prognosis could assist healthcare providers in triaging patients when allocating limited healthcare during COVID-19 outbreak.

Machine learning models for predicting critical illness risk in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: To develop machine learning classifiers at admission for predicting which patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) who will progress to critical illness. METHODS: A total of 158 patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 admitted to three designated hospitals between December 31, 2019 and March 31, 2020 were retrospectively collected. 27 clinical and laboratory variables of COVID-19 patients were collected from the medical records. A total of 201 quantitative CT features of COVID-19 pneumonia were extracted by using an artificial intelligence software. The critically ill cases were defined according to the COVID-19 guidelines. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression was used to select the predictors of critical illness from clinical and radiological features, respectively. Accordingly, we developed clinical and radiological models using the following machine learning classifiers, including naive bayes (NB), linear regression (LR), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), kernel support vector machine (k-SVM), and back propagation neural networks (BPNN). The combined model incorporating the selected clinical and radiological factors was also developed using the eight above-mentioned classifiers. The predictive efficiency of the models is validated using a 5-fold cross-validation method. The performance of the models was compared by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: The mean age of all patients was 58.9±13.9 years and 89 (56.3%) were males. 35 (22.2%) patients deteriorated to critical illness. After LASSO analysis, four clinical features including lymphocyte percentage, lactic dehydrogenase, neutrophil count, and D-dimer and four quantitative CT features were selected. The XGBoost-based clinical model yielded the highest AUC of 0.960 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.913-1.000)]. The XGBoost-based radiological model achieved an AUC of 0.890 (95% CI: 0.757-1.000). However, the predictive efficacy of XGBoost-based combined model was very close to that of the XGBoost-based clinical model, with an AUC of 0.955 (95% CI: 0.906-1.000). CONCLUSIONS: A XGBoost-based based clinical model on admission might be used as an effective tool to identify patients at high risk of critical illness.

Diagnosis and treatment process of a case of "Fuyang" after recovery of light COVID-19 and its influencing factors

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the key points and difficulties of diagnosis and management of the patients by reporting the case of positive nucleic re-examination in patient after treatment of a light novel coronavirus pneumonia. METHODS: A case of light novel coronavirus pneumonia diagnosed and treated in January 2020, the possible factors of rejuvenation and the process of isolation management during the period were retrospectively analyzed. RESULTS: The patient had only dry cough symptoms and no history of clear contact. After two times of pharynx swabs tested negative for nucleic acid, the patient was tested positive again, who was less likely re-infected and may have long detoxification time with the risk of spreading the virus. It maybe related to the limitations of nucleic acid reagent testing and sampling method. CONCLUSION: It is of great significance to accurately identify and control light and "Fuyang" patients and take strictly quarantine measures to reduce risk of transmission.